Understanding the environmental impacts of displacing UK agricultural/commodity production

Solicitation C26-1076-2323, issued by JNCC Support Co, seeks a provider to develop a model that estimates the environmental impacts of displacing UK agricultural and commodity production overseas. This initiative is driven by increasing domestic land-use pressures from housing, nature commitments, and Net Zero goals. The primary objectives are to create an interim model based on transparent assumptions to identify where production is likely to be displaced and to estimate the resulting environmental impacts, ideally mapping these to the Global Environmental Impacts of Consumption indicator. The initial contract term is scheduled from November 2, 2026, to March 20, 2028, with an estimated value of 220,000 GBP inclusive of VAT. There is a potential option to extend the contract for an additional twelve months through March 20, 2029, bringing the total potential value to 330,000 GBP inclusive of VAT. Payment is contingent upon the successful delivery of agreed project outputs. Bidders must identify the personnel and expertise proposed for the project, noting that economic knowledge can be demonstrated through professional experience rather than formal degrees. Key contractual requirements include the assignment of intellectual property rights for results to JNCC and the maintenance of Employers, Public, and Professional Liability insurance for the contract duration and six years thereafter. The submission deadline for tenders is October 13, 2026, at 9:00 am. Evaluation will be based on the proposed team's experience and capability to deliver the required modeling and environmental impact estimates.