Econometric Modeling and Merger Simulation Analysis

The contract seeks advanced econometric modeling and merger simulation analysis to evaluate the competitive, pricing, and market effects of an airline joint venture. The work will involve developing sophisticated quantitative models to estimate potential changes in market structure, consumer prices, and service offerings post-merger, with extensive robustness checks and scenario analysis to ensure reliability and policy relevance. The analysis must account for dynamic market behaviors, consumer responsiveness, and potential anti-competitive outcomes under various regulatory and operational conditions. The opportunity is structured as a subcontract under NAICS code 541611, issued by the Department of Transport under the Government of Canada, with performance expected to be centered in the National Capital Region. The solicitation was posted on July 17, 2026, and responses are due by August 17, 2026. While no set-aside provisions or point of contact details are provided, the scope demands high-level expertise in economic modeling and real-world application to transport market regulation. The work will form the basis of policy decisions related to airline industry consolidation and public interest protections.