Economic Impact Modeling for Maritime Decarbonization Policies

The contract seeks to develop and apply economic models to evaluate the effects of eight International Maritime Organization zero-emission fuel policy mechanisms on U.S. maritime operations, trade competitiveness, energy demand, and industrial costs. The work will focus on analyzing how these global regulatory frameworks could reshape the economic landscape for American shipping, port activities, and related industries, with particular attention to shifts in fuel usage, operational expenses, and market positioning relative to international competitors. The modeling effort must account for the interplay between regulatory requirements and real-world operational constraints faced by U.S. maritime stakeholders. Performance will be centered in Washington, D.C., with a deadline for submission on June 3, 2026, and the effort is classified as a subcontract under NAICS code 541611 for management, scientific, and technical consulting services. The contract is issued by the U.S. Department of Transportation’s Maritime Administration, indicating a direct link to national transportation policy and decarbonization objectives. The scope requires rigorous quantitative analysis to support informed decision-making on domestic and international maritime regulations, ensuring that U.S. interests are represented in ongoing global discussions about emissions reduction and fuel transition pathways.