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This Pre-Solicitation opportunity from Department Of Commerce was posted on July 27, 2026. The submission period has ended. Browse the details below for market research, or find similar active opportunities.

3D Coastal Ocean Foundational Model Using AI, SCHISM and MLEOF Models.

Closed
141009-26-0102Federal

Contract Overview

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AI Contract Overview

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Office of Coast Survey intends to award a sole-source purchase order to the Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS) to develop an AI-based predictive model for ocean temperature, salinity, and currents by integrating the SCHISM physics-based modeling system and the MLEOF machine-learning empirical orthogonal function technique. VIMS is the sole originator and custodian of both the SCHISM model and its specialized 3D application, STOFS-3D-Atlantic, which provides the high-fidelity, long-term hindcast data essential for training the AI model. The project will further apply a generative forecasting transformer to derive accurate, deployable predictions, leveraging VIMS’s unique expertise in merging advanced coastal ocean modeling with proprietary AI methodologies that no other entity possesses. The agency determined no alternative sources exist due to the exclusive ownership of the required models and the deep, established technical integration capabilities only VIMS can provide, making competition infeasible. The contract period spans from October 1, 2026, to September 30, 2027, with no set-aside applied and the NAICS code 541715 assigned. Market research confirmed no other organizations can reproduce the necessary combination of SCHISM model access, MLEOF AI tool development, and operational-scale validation required to meet mission-critical objectives in coastal ocean prediction. While this is a presolicitation notice and not a competitive request, interested parties may submit supporting documentation or inquiries by August 11, 2026, to challenge the sole-source determination, though any decision to open competition remains at the government’s sole discretion. All communication must be in writing, and responses will be evaluated only to assess the validity of the sole-source justification. The place of performance is Gloucester Point, Virginia, with the primary point of contact being Michelle Walton of NOAA’s Eastern Acquisition Division in Norfolk.

General Info

NOAA awards VIMS sole-source contract to develop AI model for ocean predictions using proprietary SCHISM and MLEOF technologies.

Agency

Department Of Commerce NoaaView Agency

Contract Value

$329,999

NAICS

541715 - Research and Development in the Physical, Engineering, and Life Sciences (except Nanotechnology and Biotechnology)View NAICS

Place of Performance

Gloucester Point, VA, USA

Set-Aside

NONE

Awardee

VIRGINIA INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCEView Profile

Award Issued Date

Documents

(0)

No documents available

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Timeline

PhaseClosed
Posted

Presolicitation

Response Deadline

Deadline has passed

Submission Closed

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Organization & Contact Information

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AgencyDepartment Of Commerce Noaa
Contacts1 person available
OfficeNORFOLK, VA, 23510, USA
Organization / Agency
Department Of Commerce Noaa
View Agency Profile
Office AddressNORFOLK, VA, 23510, USA

Full Description

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***THE NATIONAL OCEANIC AND ATMOSPHERIC ADMINISTRATION’S (NOAA) ACQUISITION & GRANTS OFFICE, EASTERN ACQUISITION DIVISION-NORFOLK, NATIONAL OCEAN SERVICE (NOS) OFFICE OF COAST SURVEY (OCS), INTENDS TO NEGOTIATE AND AWARD A PURCHASE ORDER, ON A SOLE SOURCE BASIS, UNDER AUTHORITY OF RFO FAR 6.103-1, WITH VIRGINIA INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCE (VIMS)  TO DEVELOP AN AI-BASED PREDICTIVE MODEL OF OCEAN TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND CURRENTS USING SCHISM AND MLEOF MODELS.


 NO SET ASIDE IS TO BE USED FOR THIS SOLE SOURCE REQUIREMENT. THE ASSOCIATED NAICS CODE IS 541715.


***THE SOLE SOURCE DETERMINATION IS BASED ON NOAA’S REQUIREMENT THAT VIRGINIA INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCE (VIMS) IS THE OWNER AND DEVELOPER OF THE SCHISM MODEL WHICH WILL BE USED TO GENERATE THE PHYSICS- BASED SIMULATIONS UPON WHICH THE AI TOOLS WILL BE APPLIED. VIMS ALSO DEVELOPED THE SPECIFIC 3D COMPONENT OF THE SURGE AND TIDE OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM FOR THE ATLANTIC OCEAN (STOFS-3D-ATLANTIC), WHICH IS THE SCHISM-BASED MOD APPLICATION TO BE USED IN THIS PROJECT.  VIMS CREATED THE PHYSICS-GROUNDED MACHINE-LEARNING EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION (MLEOF) AI TOOL REQUIRED FOR THIS PREDICTIVE MODELING CONTRACT.


VIMS DOES NOT HAVE ANY AUTHORIZED PARTNERS WHO CAN PROVIDE THESE TECHNOLOGIES.  


THE SERVICES PROVIDED WILL BE THE APPLICATION OF AI TECHNIQUES TO LEARN FROM OCEAN MODEL SIMULATIONS IN ORDER TO DEVELOP AN AI-BASED PREDICTIVE MODEL OF OCEAN TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND CURRENTS. THE MODEL SIMULATIONS TO BE USED FOR THIS WILL BE FROM AN APPLICATION OF THE SCHISM (SEMI-IMPLICIT CROSS-SCALE HYDROSCIENCE INTEGRATED SYSTEM MODEL) MODEL DEVELOPED BY THE VIRGINIA INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCE (VIMS). THE AI TECHNOLOGY THAT WILL BE USED TO LEARN FROM THE SCHISM MODEL RESULTS WILL INCLUDE A MACHINE-LEARNING EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION (MLEOF) AND A GENERATIVE FORECASTING TRANSFORMER (GFT). VIMS HAS DEVELOPED EXPERTISE WITH THESE TECHNIQUES THAT WILL ALLOW THEIR APPLICATION TO ITS SCHISM-BASED MODELING RESULTS. THE RESULTING AI-BASED MODEL WILL THEREFORE PROVIDE A READILY-DEPLOYABLE TOOL FOR PREDICTION OF TEMPERATURE, SALINITY, AND CURRENTS. THIS OPPORTUNITY WILL ENABLE NOS TO MAKE MAJOR ADVANCEMENTS IN COASTAL OCEAN MODELING AND PREDICTION THROUGH AI. FAILING TO SECURE THESE SERVICES THROUGH VIMS WOULD SEVERELY IMPEDE THE NOS’S ABILITY TO MEET MISSION-CRITICAL OBJECTIVES FOR COASTAL OCEAN MODELING AND PREDICTION. FURTHERMORE, IT WOULD CAUSE THE AGENCY TO MISS A PIVOTAL OPPORTUNITY FOR TRANSFORMATIVE PROGRESS IN ITS OPERATIONAL CAPABILITIES.


MARKET RESEARCH FOR ADDITIONAL SOURCES FOUND NO OTHER QUALIFIED ENTITIES BECAUSE THE PROJECT REQUIRES A UNIQUE INTEGRATION OF PHYSICS-BASED MODELING AND SPECIFIC AI EXPERTISE HELD EXCLUSIVELY BY THE VIRGINIA INSTITUTE OF MARINE SCIENCE (VIMS). PREVIOUS RESEARCH FOR THE SURGE AND TIDE OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM WAS PERFORMED ON SELECTION OF BOTH THE PHYSICS-BASED MODELS. SCHISM WAS SELECTED FROM A RANGE OF OPEN SOURCE COMMUNITY OCEAN MODELS, DUE TO ITS ABILITY TO RESOLVE OCEAN PHYSICS ACROSS A GEOGRAPHIC RANGE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN TO THE NEARSHORE COASTAL ENVIRONMENT. THE SURGE AND TIDE OPERATIONAL FORECAST SYSTEM 3D IN THE ATLANTIC (STOFS-3D-ATLANTIC) IS A UNIQUE APPLICATION OF SCHISM THAT HAS BEEN WELL TESTED AND VERIFIED AS A HIGH FIDELITY, ACCURATE MODEL. STOFS-3D-ATLANTIC HAS A 26-YEAR HINDCAST SIMULATION WHICH HAS BEEN IDENTIFIED AS A UNIQUE LONG-TERM 3D HINDCAST THAT MEETS THE NEEDS OF THIS AI PROJECT. THIS TYPE OF 3D LONG-TERM APPLICATION OF A HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL FOR THE ATLANTIC AND GULF COASTS OF AMERICA IS UNPARALLELED.


VIMS IS THE CREATOR OF THE SPECIFIC MACHINE-LEARNING EMPIRICAL ORTHOGONAL FUNCTION (MLEOF) AI TOOLS REQUIRED FOR THIS CONTRACT AND MAINTAINS UNIQUE, ESTABLISHED COORDINATION WITH LEADING AI DEVELOPERS. VIMS HAS UNIQUE EXPERTISE IN INTEGRATING COASTAL MODELS WITH ADVANCED AI. THIS PROJECT DEMANDS A PRECISE INTEGRATION OF PROPRIETARY PHYSICS-BASED MODELS AND HIGHLY SPECIALIZED AI METHODOLOGIES THAT ARE ONLY PROVIDED BY VIMS; NO OTHER SOURCE CAN PROVIDE THE NECESSARY SERVICES.


MARAKET RESEARCH CONDUCTED FOUND NO ALTERNATIVE MODELS THAT MEET OCS’ REQUIREMENTS.


PERIOD OF PERFORMANCE: 10/01/2026 – 09/30/2027


***THIS PRESOLICITATION NOTICE IS NOT A REQUEST FOR COMPETITIVE PROPOSALS AND NO SOLICITATION PACKAGE IS AVAILABLE. HOWEVER, FIRMS THAT BELIEVE THEY CAN FULLY MEET THE GOVERNMENT'S REQUIREMENTS MAY SUBMIT SUBSTANTIATING DOCUMENTATION OR A REQUEST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IN WRITING TO THE IDENTIFIED POINT OF CONTACT WITHIN 15 DAYS AFTER PUBLICATION OF THIS PRE-SOLICITATION NOTICE. SUCH REQUESTS AND DOCUMENTATION WILL BE EVALUATED SOLELY FOR THE PURPOSE OF DETERMINING WHETHER OR NOT TO CONDUCT THIS PROCUREMENT ON A COMPETITIVE BASIS. A DETERMINATION BY THE GOVERNMENT NOT TO CONDUCT A COMPETITIVE PROCUREMENT, BASED UPON RESPONSES TO THIS NOTICE, IS SOLELY WITHIN THE DISCRETION OF THE GOVERNMENT. ORAL COMMUNICATIONS ARE NOT ACCEPTABLE IN RESPONSE TO THIS NOTICE.




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